Match Info

Date: 17 April 2022, Sunday


	Union Fürstenwalde		Chemie Leipzig

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	1.83
	3.85	3.5	1.81
	3.55	3.6	1.88
	4	3.67	1.85
	3.88	3.84	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↑ (3.03)	3.6 ↑ (3.18)	1.84 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Fürstenwalde
24.4%

Draw
25.6%

Chemie Leipzig
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

28.5%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

31%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Fürstenwalde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Union Fürstenwalde's form might have worsened.

Chemie Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chemie Leipzig's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Fürstenwalde than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chemie Leipzig than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Union Fürstenwalde - Chemie Leipzig Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 11).

Recent matches Fürstenwalde is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chemie Leipzig is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fürstenwalde could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Chemie Leipzig will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fürstenwalde won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Fürstenwalde won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FSV Union Fürstenwalde
German Regionalliga Nordost
10.04.22	Hertha Berlin II - Union Fürstenwalde	5:0 ✺
05.04.22	Union Fürstenwalde - Lichtenberg	2:0 ✺
01.04.22	Babelsberg - Union Fürstenwalde	1:2 ✺
27.03.22	Union Fürstenwalde - Germania Halberstadt	1:2 ✺
18.03.22	Union Fürstenwalde - Tasmania Berlin	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 LWWLT
- Chemie Leipzig
German Regionalliga Nordost
09.04.22	Chemie Leipzig - Tennis Borussia Berlin	2:1 ✺
06.04.22	Auerbach - Chemie Leipzig	1:3 ✺
03.04.22	Chemie Leipzig - Carl Zeiss Jena	3:2 ✺
20.03.22	Optik Rathenow - Chemie Leipzig	0:0 ✺
13.03.22	Chemie Leipzig - Berliner FC Dynamo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
24.10.21	Chemie Leipzig - Union Fürstenwalde	2:1
16.02.20	Union Fürstenwalde - Chemie Leipzig	0:0
28.08.19	Chemie Leipzig - Union Fürstenwalde	1:4
18.02.18	Union Fürstenwalde - Chemie Leipzig	1:2
26.08.17	Chemie Leipzig - Union Fürstenwalde	1:2

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