Match Info

Date: 1 April 2022, Friday


	Babelsberg		Union Fürstenwalde

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.33	5.5
	1.44	4.25	5.8
	1.47	4.3	5.6
	1.44	4.48	6.9
	1.48	4.55	6.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.3)	4.38 ↓ (5)	5.99 ↓ (7.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Babelsberg
63.5%

Draw
21.1%

Union Fürstenwalde
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

18.2%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73%

17.5%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Babelsberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Babelsberg's form might have worsened.

Union Fürstenwalde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Babelsberg than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Babelsberg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Fürstenwalde than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Babelsberg - Union Fürstenwalde Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Babelsberg won 0.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Fürstenwalde could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Babelsberg is absolute favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Babelsberg won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Babelsberg won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Babelsberg 03
German Regionalliga Nordost
18.03.22	Tennis Borussia Berlin - Babelsberg	0:0 ✺
12.03.22	Babelsberg - Auerbach	1:1 ✺
09.03.22	Berliner FC Dynamo - Babelsberg	1:0 ✺
04.03.22	Carl Zeiss Jena - Babelsberg	1:0 ✺
25.02.22	Babelsberg - Optik Rathenow	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TTLLT
- FSV Union Fürstenwalde
German Regionalliga Nordost
27.03.22	Union Fürstenwalde - Germania Halberstadt	1:2 ✺
18.03.22	Union Fürstenwalde - Tasmania Berlin	2:2 ✺
13.03.22	Meuselwitz - Union Fürstenwalde	0:0 ✺
02.03.22	Union Fürstenwalde - Altglienicke	1:3 ✺
26.02.22	Eilenburg - Union Fürstenwalde	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
26.09.21	Union Fürstenwalde - Babelsberg	1:4
22.02.20	Babelsberg - Union Fürstenwalde	1:2
24.08.19	Union Fürstenwalde - Babelsberg	1:0
22.04.19	Babelsberg - Union Fürstenwalde	2:4
21.10.18	Union Fürstenwalde - Babelsberg	1:0
11.03.18	Union Fürstenwalde - Babelsberg	2:2
18.08.17	Babelsberg - Union Fürstenwalde	1:0

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