Match Info

Regionalliga Central - Round 28

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday

Location: Park21-Arena (Gurten)


	Union Gurten		Kalsdorf

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.95	4.75
	1.68	3.66	3.89
	1.72	3.92	4.01	Watch
	1.7	3.4	4
	1.5	4.05	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.54)	3.8 ↓ (4.24)	4.4 ↓ (4.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Gurten
55.5%

Draw
23.9%

Kalsdorf
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

21.7%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

21.3%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Gurten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Kalsdorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Gurten than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Union Gurten, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kalsdorf than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Union Gurten - Kalsdorf Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gurten won 2.

Gurten is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kalsdorf has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Gurten is considered a favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Gurten won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:20. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Gurten won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 2.3:1.5).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Union Gurten	30	20	4	6	59:28	31	64
6	Kalsdorf	30	15	4	11	59:53	6	49

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Gurten
Austrian Regionalliga Central
15.05.26	Union Gurten - ASKÖ Oedt	2:1 ✺
08.05.26	ATUS Velden - Union Gurten	3:1 ✺
01.05.26	Union Gurten - Ried II	3:0 ✺
24.04.26	Treibach - Union Gurten	0:1 ✺
17.04.26	Union Gurten - Weindorf St. Anna am Aigen	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWWT
- SC Kalsdorf
Austrian Regionalliga Central
16.05.26	Kalsdorf - Union Dietach	1:2 ✺
08.05.26	ASKÖ Oedt - Kalsdorf	1:1 ✺
30.04.26	Kalsdorf - LASK II	3:1 ✺
24.04.26	ATUS Velden - Kalsdorf	2:1 ✺
17.04.26	Kalsdorf - Lafnitz	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Regionalliga Central
24.10.25	Kalsdorf - Union Gurten	4:1
25.04.23	Union Gurten - Kalsdorf	5:1
02.09.22	Kalsdorf - Union Gurten	0:4
27.05.22	Kalsdorf - Union Gurten	1:1
22.09.20	Union Gurten - Kalsdorf	0:2
13.09.19	Kalsdorf - Union Gurten	0:3
07.06.19	Kalsdorf - Union Gurten	0:0

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