Match Info

GERMANY: Oberliga Hamburg - Round 33

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday


	Union Tornesch		Alsterbruder

	1	X	2
	2.55	4.5	2.05
	2.92	4.51	1.94
	2.51	5.03	2.11
	2.59	4.31	2.16
	2.55	4.5	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.96)	4.57 ↑ (4.45)	2.06 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Tornesch
35.1%

Draw
20.2%

Alsterbruder
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

20.8%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

19%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Tornesch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Alsterbruder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Tornesch than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alsterbruder than the current prediction. (-1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Verago L. ⚽,
9', 1 - 1, Haag S. ⚽,
29', 🟥,
41', 2 - 1, Scobel P. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
55', 2 - 2, Janta K. V. ⚽,
70', 3 - 2, Johannig M. H. ⚽,
74', 3 - 3, Verago L. ⚽,
81', 4 - 3, ⚽,
90+3', 🟥,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Recently Union Tornesch have a series of guest games.

Alsterbruder will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Union Tornesch won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Tornesch
German Oberliga Hamburg
28.04.24	Sasel - Union Tornesch	4:0 ✺
21.04.24	Rugenbergen - Union Tornesch	3:0 ✺
14.04.24	Union Tornesch - Wandsbeker Concordia	1:1 ✺
07.04.24	TSV Buchholz 08 - Union Tornesch	1:0 ✺
28.03.24	ETSV Hamburg - Union Tornesch	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 LLTLT
- FC Alsterbruder
German Oberliga Hamburg
28.04.24	Alsterbruder - Wandsbeker Concordia	1:2 ✺
21.04.24	TSV Buchholz 08 - Alsterbruder	5:2 ✺
14.04.24	Alsterbruder - Paloma Hamburg	2:6 ✺
06.04.24	Düneberg - Alsterbruder	0:5 ✺
30.03.24	Dassendorf - Alsterbruder	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Hamburg
05.11.23	Alsterbruder - Union Tornesch	2:2

Union Tornesch - Alsterbruder: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide