The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Union de Touarga 53.3%
Draw 27.6%
IR Tanger 19.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.6%
29.1%
28.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.7%
30.5%
26.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Union de Touarga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Union de Touarga's performance.
IR Tanger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and IR Tanger might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union de Touarga than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Union de Touarga that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for IR Tanger than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that IR Tanger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
11.1%
22.2%
Union de Touarga - IR Tanger Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Union de Touarga will win (votes: 6 - 75%). IR Tanger will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Union de Touarga: 45% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
36. Bouelainine H. (G) 33. Ait Lamkadem R. 2. Akharraz Y. 41. Ashabi M. 9. Bammou Y. 7. Dahmani Y. 4. El Khalej T. 8. Essadak H. 10. Essahel M. 45. Konan K. 70. Lotfi S.
1. El Ouaad A. (G) 27. Ait Dani S. 14. El Bahja H. 20. El Bellali E. 6. El Ouadghiri B. 24. El Wahabi A. 97. Gaddarine B. 22. Kiani Z. 23. Lamrabat A. 17. Maali A. 4. Saoud M. (C)
Substitutes
18. Arjoune O. 1. Asmama R. (G) 6. Danny 58. Douieb I. 30. Es Sahel M. 34. Housni Z. 13. Kajai Y. 19. Moustaghfir N. 59. Tebily S.
8. Abdoul Mutalib F. 67. Bakhlakh H. 12. Barcola M. (G) 21. El Moudene H. 49. El Moussaoui L. 48. El Quaraoui A. 36. Karouat S. 28. Lagrouch K. 79. Sanogo S.
Coaches
Mokhtari M.
Benchikha A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
20', El Bellali E. 🟨,
37', Ait Dani S. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Konan K. 🟨,
62', Akharraz Y. ↓, Tebily S. ↑,
62', Konan K. ↓, Arjoune O. ↑,
74', Bammou Y. ↓, Moustaghfir N. ↑,
74', Essadak H. ↓, Es Sahel M. ↑,
78', El Bahja H. ↓, Lagrouch K. ↑,
78', El Bellali E. ↓, El Moudene H. ↑,
83', 1 - 0, Tebily S. ⚽, Arjoune O. (A),
88', Moustaghfir N. ↓, Kajai Y. ↑,
90+1', El Wahabi A. ↓, Bakhlakh H. ↑,
90+1', Lamrabat A. ↓, Sanogo S. ↑,
90+5', Tebily S. 🟨,
90+8', Bouelainine H. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Botola 2 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union de Touarga won 2.
Union de Touarga has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
IR Tanger is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
In this match, Union de Touarga is considered a favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Union de Touarga won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 1.4:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Union de Touarga won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).