Match Info

Date: 30 January 2022, Sunday


	Unione Sanremo		Caronnese

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.2	3.6
	1.85	3	3.85
	1.87	3.12	3.54
	1.96	3.2	3.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.58)	3.13 ↓ (3.64)	3.68 ↓ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unione Sanremo
47.2%

Draw
28.5%

Caronnese
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

25.1%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7%

20.6%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unione Sanremo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unione Sanremo's form might have worsened.

Caronnese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caronnese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unione Sanremo than the current prediction. (+23.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unione Sanremo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caronnese than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caronnese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs and 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out).

Recent matches Unione Sanremo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Caronnese is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Unione Sanremo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Unione Sanremo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Unione Sanremo won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Unione Sanremo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unione Sanremo
Italian Serie D - Group A
26.01.22	Bra - Unione Sanremo	1:4 ✺
23.01.22	Ticino - Unione Sanremo	3:1 ✺
22.12.21	Unione Sanremo - Derthona	1:1 ✺
18.12.21	Sestri Levante - Unione Sanremo	2:2 ✺
12.12.21	Unione Sanremo - Ligorna	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLTTW
- SC Caronnese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group A
23.01.22	Bra - Caronnese	0:0 ✺
19.01.22	Varese - Caronnese	2:0 ✺
22.12.21	Caronnese - Sestri Levante	1:1 ✺
12.12.21	Caronnese - Imperia	0:1 ✺
05.12.21	Caronnese - Borgosesia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
19.09.21	Caronnese - Unione Sanremo	1:1
18.04.21	Caronnese - Unione Sanremo	3:1
23.12.20	Unione Sanremo - Caronnese	1:1
05.01.20	Unione Sanremo - Caronnese	0:1
01.09.19	Caronnese - Unione Sanremo	3:3

Unione Sanremo - Caronnese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide