Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 14

Date: 4 December 2022, Sunday


	Varese		Caronnese

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.3
	1.95	3.2	3.45
	1.97	3.19	3.43
	2	2.9	3.5
	2	3.2	3.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.93)	3.12 ↓ (3.15)	3.43 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varese
45.2%

Draw
28.7%

Caronnese
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

28.2%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

26%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Caronnese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varese than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caronnese than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Varese - Caronnese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out) and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out)).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Recently Città di Varese have a series of guest games.

Città di Varese will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Città di Varese won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Città di Varese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varese FC
Italian Serie D - Group B
27.11.22	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Varese	2:0 ✺
20.11.22	Brusaporto - Varese	1:1 ✺
13.11.22	Varese - Sona	1:2 ✺
06.11.22	Villa Valle - Varese	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
01.11.22	Varesina - Varese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTLLW
- SC Caronnese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group B
27.11.22	Caronnese - Sona	2:1 ✺
20.11.22	Arconatese - Caronnese	2:0 ✺
13.11.22	Caronnese - Brusaporto	2:2 ✺
06.11.22	Breno - Caronnese	4:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
02.11.22	Arconatese - Caronnese	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
24.04.22	Caronnese - Varese	0:1
19.01.22	Varese - Caronnese	2:0
28.02.21	Caronnese - Varese	1:1
18.11.20	Varese - Caronnese	0:1

Varese - Caronnese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide