Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 8

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Unione Sanremo		Sestri Levante

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.35	3.65
	1.83	3.52	3.82	Watch
	1.75	3.25	3.70
	1.88	3.54	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.05)	3.42 ↑ (3.3)	3.78 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Unione Sanremo
49.6%

Draw
26.5%

Sestri Levante
23.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.8%

27.8%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

27.8%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unione Sanremo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Sestri Levante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unione Sanremo than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestri Levante than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Unione Sanremo - Sestri Levante Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12th and 13th in the Serie D - Group A (Play Out: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unione Sanremo won 2.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Sestri Levante may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Unione Sanremo is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Unione Sanremo has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:12 (averaging 1.4:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Unione Sanremo against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 7:6 goals (averaging 1.2:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Sanremese	9	3	4	2	12:9	3	13
16	Sestri Levante	9	2	3	4	7:10	-3	9

Last Results with these Odds

Sestri Levante - the odds 3.35 are the expected chance of winning is 27.4%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unione Sanremo
Italian Serie D - Group A
04.10.26	Unione Sanremo - Bra	3:0 ✺
27.09.26	Gozzano - Unione Sanremo	2:1 ✺
16.09.26	Chisola - Unione Sanremo	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Unione Sanremo - Celle Varazze	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Ligorna - Unione Sanremo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLLWT
- USD Sestri Levante 1919
Italian Serie D - Group A
11.10.26	Sestri Levante - Celle Varazze	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
07.10.26	Sestri Levante - Pistoiese	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group A
04.10.26	Borgosesia - Sestri Levante	0:1 ✺
27.09.26	Sestri Levante - Biellese	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Alessandria - Sestri Levante	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
21.12.25	Unione Sanremo - Sestri Levante	1:2
08.01.23	Unione Sanremo - Sestri Levante	1:0
04.09.22	Sestri Levante - Unione Sanremo	1:2
01.05.22	Unione Sanremo - Sestri Levante	2:2
18.12.21	Sestri Levante - Unione Sanremo	2:2
30.05.21	Unione Sanremo - Sestri Levante	2:1
06.01.21	Sestri Levante - Unione Sanremo	2:1

Unione Sanremo - Sestri Levante