Match Info

Superettan - Round 9

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Sodertalje Fotbollsarena (Södertälje)

Referee: Hasani R. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play


	United Nordic		Brage

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.6	3
	2.2	3.55	2.98
	2.2	3.75	3.2
	2.11	3.89	3	Watch
	2.1	3.3	2.9
	2.15	3.56	3.05	Watch
	2.3	3.4	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.4)	3.58 ↑ (3.48)	2.97 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

United Nordic
42.8%

Draw
25.9%

Brage
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

26.7%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

26.5%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

United Nordic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Brage has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for United Nordic than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brage than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

United Nordic - Brage Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. United Nordic will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Brage will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Eskelinen W. (G) 16. Daneyl N. 2. Behnan M. 77. Gursac J. 3. Fazal M. 20. Harabi A. 8. Gronborg T. 5. Andersson E. 7. Eminovic A. 22. Soderberg N. 17. Jawla K.	1. Frodig V. (G) 24. Hellblom A. 2. Zetterstrom A. 5. Konjuhi L. 4. Persson M. 23. Horberg F. 28. Granstrom G. 8. Sporrong A. 10. Berggren G. 17. Jonsson P. 15. Stark O.
Substitutes
4. Abadid L. 74. Aphrem C. 6. Aphrem G. 11. Fisic A. 10. Mehmeti L. 1. Melkemichel A. (G) 9. Shhab S. 27. Tokpah D.	19. Brkic H. 13. Engdahl A. (G) 30. Guadagno J. (G) 7. Larsen M. 12. Mortensen A. 20. Nordh G. 21. Ostberg N. 25. Pihlstrom A. 14. Skille J.
Coaches
Younan S.	Kallberg G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+3', Sporrong A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jonsson P. ↓, Mortensen A. ↑,
54', Granstrom G. ↓, Brkic H. ↑,
54', Stark O. ↓, Nordh G. ↑,
67', Soderberg N. ↓, Mehmeti L. ↑,
76', Hellblom A. ↓, Ostberg N. ↑,
80', Eminovic A. ↓, Aphrem C. ↑,
80', Jawla K. ↓, Shhab S. ↑,
90+1', Harabi A. ↓, Fisic A. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 0, Fisic A. ⚽, Mehmeti L. (A),
90+3', Konjuhi L. ↓, Skille J. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan (Promotion: ) and 8).

United Nordic is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Brage's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Brage may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

United Nordic will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Nordic United	25	9	9	7	38:40	-2	36
15	Brage	25	5	8	12	39:48	-9	23

Last Results with these Odds

Brage - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.75%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- United Nordic IK
Swedish Superettan
17.05.26	United Nordic - Falkenberg	1:4 ✺
13.05.26	Norrköping - United Nordic	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	United Nordic - Öster	4:2 ✺
02.05.26	Ljungskile - United Nordic	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	United Nordic - Sandviken	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 LTWWW
- IK Brage
Swedish Superettan
16.05.26	Brage - Norrköping	0:0 ✺
13.05.26	Brage - Östersund	2:4 ✺
08.05.26	Örebro - Brage	0:3 ✺
03.05.26	Helsingborg - Brage	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Brage - Varbergs BoIS	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLWLT

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