Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 20

Date: 21 January 2024, Sunday


	United Riccione		Fano

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.25	4.6
	1.71	3.27	4.52
	1.57	3.4	4.6
	1.62	3.52	5.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (2.22)	3.36 ↑ (2.9)	4.71 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

United Riccione
54.4%

Draw
26.6%

Fano
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

31.3%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

31.5%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

United Riccione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in United Riccione's performance.

Fano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for United Riccione than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with United Riccione that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fano than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

United Riccione - Fano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )).

United Riccione is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Fano is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

United Riccione will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches United Riccione won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- United Riccione
Italian Serie D - Group F
14.01.24	Roma City - United Riccione	2:2 ✺
06.01.24	United Riccione - Tivoli Calcio	0:0 ✺
20.12.23	United Riccione - Atletico Ascoli	0:1 ✺
17.12.23	Vigor Senigallia - United Riccione	2:1 ✺
10.12.23	United Riccione - L Aquila	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TTLLL
- Alma Juventus Fano 1906
Italian Serie D - Group F
14.01.24	Fano - Fossombrone	0:0 ✺
07.01.24	Polisportiva Vastogirardi - Fano	2:2 ✺
20.12.23	Real Monterotondo - Fano	2:2 ✺
17.12.23	Fano - Avezzano	3:1 ✺
10.12.23	Fano - Sora	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
24.09.23	Fano - United Riccione	0:1

United Riccione - Fano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide