Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 8

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday


	United Riccione		Polisportiva Vastogirardi

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.25	4.5
	1.67	3.4	4.7
	1.7	3.3	4.5
	1.65	3.44	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.85)	3.35 ↑ (3.04)	4.65 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

United Riccione
53.7%

Draw
26.9%

Polisportiva Vastogirardi
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

29.8%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

25.3%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

United Riccione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Polisportiva Vastogirardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for United Riccione than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with United Riccione that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polisportiva Vastogirardi than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Polisportiva Vastogirardi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches United Riccione is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vastogirardi has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match United Riccione is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- United Riccione
Italian Serie D - Group F
22.10.23	Sambenedettese - United Riccione	2:1 ✺
15.10.23	United Riccione - Avezzano	1:2 ✺
24.09.23	Fano - United Riccione	0:1 ✺
17.09.23	United Riccione - Roma City	4:0 ✺
10.09.23	Tivoli Calcio - United Riccione	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWWL
- Polisportiva Vastogirardi
Italian Serie D - Group F
22.10.23	Polisportiva Vastogirardi - Notaresco	1:2 ✺
14.10.23	Real Monterotondo - Polisportiva Vastogirardi	2:0 ✺
08.10.23	Polisportiva Vastogirardi - Sambenedettese	0:1 ✺
01.10.23	Polisportiva Vastogirardi - Avezzano	1:5 ✺
10.09.23	Fano - Polisportiva Vastogirardi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLT

United Riccione - Polisportiva Vastogirardi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide