Match Info

Date: 5 September 2020, Saturday


	Universidad Católica		Olmedo

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.2	5.25	Watch
	1.44	4.33	5.75
				Watch
	1.49	4.2	5.2
	1.49	4.37	6.35
	1.5	4.2	5.5	Watch
	1.56	4.45	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.37)	4.29 ↓ (4.63)	5.54 ↓ (7.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad Católica
61.8%

Draw
21.5%

Olmedo
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

19.9%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

11%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Católica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universidad Católica's form might have worsened.

Olmedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-24.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad Católica that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olmedo than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olmedo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Universidad Católica - Olmedo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Universidad Católica is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Olmedo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Olmedo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Universidad Católica is absolute favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Universidad Católica won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Universidad Católica won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad Católica
Chilean Primera Division
05.09.20	Universidad Católica - Coquimbo Unido	4:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
02.09.20	Guayaquil City - Universidad Católica	1:3 ✺
30.08.20	Universidad Católica - LDU Portoviejo	4:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
29.08.20	Universidad Católica - Unión Española	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
26.08.20	Mushuc Runa - Universidad Católica	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWLW
- CD Olmedo
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
02.09.20	Olmedo - Delfín	2:0 ✺
29.08.20	Barcelona Guayaquil - Olmedo	3:1 ✺
26.08.20	El Nacional - Olmedo	3:2 ✺
23.08.20	Olmedo - Mushuc Runa	1:2 ✺
19.08.20	Técnico Universitario - Olmedo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
18.10.19	Olmedo - Universidad Católica	0:0
13.05.19	Universidad Católica - Olmedo	2:0
30.11.14	Olmedo - Universidad Católica	0:3
12.10.14	Universidad Católica - Olmedo	1:0
11.05.14	Olmedo - Universidad Católica	2:0
22.02.14	Universidad Católica - Olmedo	1:2

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