Match Info

Date: 2 September 2020, Wednesday


	Guayaquil City		Universidad Católica

	1	X	2
	4	3.4	1.8	Watch
	3.75	3.5	1.83
	3.9	3.4	1.82	Watch
	3.75	3.45	1.84
	4.07	3.5	1.92
	3.8	3.5	1.83	Watch
	3.85	3.74	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.87 ↑ (3.46)	3.5 ↑ (3.36)	1.85 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guayaquil City
23.8%

Draw
26.3%

Universidad Católica
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

27.3%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

18.8%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guayaquil City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guayaquil City than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guayaquil City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-18.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universidad Católica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Guayaquil City - Universidad Católica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

River Plate could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Universidad Católica is a favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches River Plate won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 16-26.

Including matches at home between the teams River Plate won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guayaquil City FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
30.08.20	Independiente del Valle - Guayaquil City	3:0 ✺
26.08.20	Guayaquil City - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:1 ✺
22.08.20	LDU Portoviejo - Guayaquil City	3:1 ✺
18.08.20	Guayaquil City - Delfín	0:0 ✺
14.08.20	Deportivo Cuenca - Guayaquil City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWLTT
- Universidad Católica
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
30.08.20	Universidad Católica - LDU Portoviejo	4:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
29.08.20	Universidad Católica - Unión Española	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
26.08.20	Mushuc Runa - Universidad Católica	1:2 ✺
23.08.20	Universidad Católica - El Nacional	1:1 ✺
19.08.20	LDU Quito - Universidad Católica	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
15.09.19	Guayaquil City - Universidad Católica	2:1
20.04.19	Universidad Católica - Guayaquil City	1:0
08.12.18	Guayaquil City - Universidad Católica	2:1
23.07.18	Universidad Católica - Guayaquil City	0:0
12.05.18	Universidad Católica - Guayaquil City	2:1
21.04.18	Guayaquil City - Universidad Católica	1:1
18.10.17	Guayaquil City - Universidad Católica	2:1

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