Match Info

CHILE: Liga de Primera - Round 3

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK (Santiago de Chile)

Referee: Philippe G. (Chi)


	Universidad Católica		Deportes Iquique

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.7	3.4	Watch
	2	3.4	3.35
	2.02	3.62	3.74
	1.98	3.57	3.57
	2	3.4	3.4
	1.94	3.77	3.6	Watch
	2	3.4	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.24)	3.55 ↑ (3.44)	3.49 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Universidad Católica
47%

Draw
26.3%

Deportes Iquique
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

26.9%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

26%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universidad Católica's performance.

Deportes Iquique has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Iquique than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.4%	0%	5.6%

Universidad Católica - Deportes Iquique Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 17 - 94.4%). Deportes Iquique will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uni Católica: 83.8% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bernedo V. (G) 19. Ampuero B. 18. Bello E. 15. Cuevas C. 25. Farias A. 2. Gonzalez D. 7. Jader 14. Rossel J. 12. Soto G. 30. Valencia D. 8. Zuqui F.	22. Requena L. (G) 6. Casanova L. 14. Davila Carvajal M. 19. Farfan R. 3. Ferreyra T. 17. Gonzalez C. 23. Hoyos E. 13. Jorquera M. 20. Orellana D. 11. Ramos A. 16. Soto B.
Substitutes
28. Arancibia F. 23. Asta-Buruaga T. 22. Canales A. 35. Corral D. 33. Letelier Garcia N. I. 11. Montes C. 40. Valdes F. (G)	12. Castillo D. (G) 5. Fuentes C. 8. Pino S. 10. Puch E. 15. Rodriguez C. 4. Rojas D. 18. Salinas Flores H.
Coaches
Tiago Nunes	Ramirez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Jader 🟨,
14', Farfan R. 🟨,
20', Hoyos E. 🟨,
34', Fuentes C. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Bello E. ⚽,
43', Hoyos E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Uni Católica won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Uni Católica could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Uni Católica is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Uni Católica won 10 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 43:28 (average 2.2:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Uni Católica won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 23:16 (average 2.1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad Católica
Chilean Primera Division
22.02.25	Coquimbo Unido - Universidad Católica	1:0 ✺
17.02.25	Universidad Católica - Audax Italiano	3:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
10.02.25	Unión La Calera - Universidad Católica	2:2 ✺
01.02.25	San Luis de Quillota - Universidad Católica	2:1 ✺
26.01.25	Universidad Católica - Everton de Viña	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWTLW
- Deportes Iquique
Copa Libertadores
25.02.25	Independiente Santa Fe - Deportes Iquique	2:2 penalties ✺
Chilean Primera Division
21.02.25	Audax Italiano - Deportes Iquique	4:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
18.02.25	Deportes Iquique - Independiente Santa Fe	2:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
14.02.25	Deportes Iquique - Coquimbo Unido	0:3 ✺
Chilean Cup
09.02.25	Deportes Iquique - Cobreloa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
31.08.24	Universidad Católica - Deportes Iquique	2:2
13.04.24	Deportes Iquique - Universidad Católica	2:3
Chilean Cup
26.06.21	Universidad Católica - Deportes Iquique	5:4 penalties
22.06.21	Deportes Iquique - Universidad Católica	1:1
Chilean Primera Division
07.01.21	Deportes Iquique - Universidad Católica	0:1
21.02.20	Universidad Católica - Deportes Iquique	3:1
24.02.19	Universidad Católica - Deportes Iquique	0:1

Upcoming Matches