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Current Win Probability
Unión La Calera 26.5%
Draw 26.5%
Universidad Católica 47%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
26.1%
26.8%
47.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.3%
26%
48.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión La Calera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Universidad Católica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Unión La Calera - Universidad Católica Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Avellaneda N. (G) 25. Diaz C. 15. Salomoni J. 27. Gutierrez D. 4. Gutierrez C. 23. Perez R. 5. Moya C. 20. Cruz J. 11. Saez S. (C) 29. Soto J. 19. Campos M.
1. Bernedo V. (G) 6. Arancibia S. 2. Gonzalez D. 21. Garcia A. 3. Mena E. 20. Valencia J. 25. Corral D. 10. Palavecino M. 8. Zuqui F. 7. Giani J. 9. Zampedri F. (C)
Substitutes
2. Andia Leon Y. W. 22. Astudillo B. (G) 32. Ferreyra B. 17. Hiriart M. 6. Lavin V. 8. Leiva Y. 7. Oyarzo Munoz B. 21. Torrente V. 13. Valero P.
19. Ampuero B. 13. Canales A. 5. Farias A. 22. Gomez M. 39. L’Huillier N. 14. Martinez J. A. 27. Melo D. (G) 11. Montes C. 18. Rossel J.
Coaches
Armijo J.
Garnero D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Zampedri F. (Penalty Awarded),
44', Moya C. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 1, Saez S. ⚽, Diaz C. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Campos M. ↓, Ferreyra B. ↑,
46', Cruz J. ↓, Oyarzo Munoz B. ↑,
56', Corral D. ↓, Montes C. ↑,
56', Giani J. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
58', 2 - 1, Ferreyra B. ⚽, Oyarzo Munoz B. (A),
62', Soto J. ↓, Hiriart M. ↑,
70', Arancibia S. ↓, Ampuero B. ↑,
70', Palavecino M. ↓, Martinez J. A. ↑,
80', Zuqui F. ↓, Rossel J. ↑,
84', Martinez J. A. 🟥,
90+3', Moya C. ↓, Lavin V. ↑,
90+3', Ampuero B. 🟨,
90+3', Valencia J. 🟨,
90+6', Oyarzo Munoz B. 🟨,
90+7', 3 - 1, Oyarzo Munoz B. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión La Calera won 2.
In recent outings, Unión La Calera has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Uni Católica shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Unión La Calera may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Uni Católica is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Unión La Calera has recorded 5 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:28 (averaging 0.9:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Unión La Calera against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 11:12 goals (averaging 1.2:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
U. Catolica
24
13
3
8
51:36
15
42
16
Union La Calera
25
5
6
14
23:42
-19
21
Outrights of Chilean Primera Division for now
U. Catolica: 6.04%
Last Results with these Odds
Unión La Calera - the odds 3.57 are the expected chance of winning is 26.1%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
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Avellaneda N. (G) 
Diaz C. 
Gutierrez C. 
Perez R. 
Valencia J. 
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