The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universidad San Martín 33.5%
Draw 30.3%
Unión Comercio 36.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.4%
28.4%
37.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.4%
28.4%
37.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad San Martín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Unión Comercio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad San Martín than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Comercio than the current prediction. (+1%)
Universidad San Martín - Unión Comercio Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ynamine P. (G) 9. Affonso M. 18. Arteaga A. 19. Chumpitaz I. (C) 3. Minaya D. 10. Oliva E. 4. Otavio Gut 24. Pena K. 17. Reyes J. 16. Sanchez S. 13. Vega C.
28. Garcia L. (G) 5. Alvarez E. 34. Cruz E. 19. Delgado G. 99. Goluz Pena B. 10. Guerrero G. (C) 24. Javier Navea 4. Montoya C. 15. Vargas C. 7. Vargas C. 17. Vargas D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Alvarez E. 🟨,
34', Guerrero G. 🟨,
40', Arteaga A. 🟨,
45+2', Vega C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Sanchez S. ↓, Sanchez V. ↑,
64', Cruz E. 🟨,
66', Vargas C. ↓, Gomez R. ↑,
66', Delgado G. ↓, Tandazo J. ↑,
71', Montoya C. ↓, Godoy M. A. ↑,
71', Javier Navea ↓, Aguirre F. ↑,
73', Reyes J. 🟨,
77', Reyes J. ↓, Vera F. ↑,
77', Oliva E. ↓, Arroe J. ↑,
77', Minaya D. ↓, Ismodes D. ↑,
79', Vargas C. ↓, Pinedo A. ↑,
85', 0 - 1, Goluz Pena B. ⚽,
90+4', Gomez R. 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Liga 2 (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni San Martín won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Unión Comercio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Uni San Martín won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Uni San Martín won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 1.5:0.6).
Peru
Watch
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Ynamine P. (G) 
Affonso M. 
Otavio Gut 
Goluz Pena B. 
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