Match Info

Liga 2 - Round 3

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Nativa


	Universidad San Martín		Deportivo Llacuabamba

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.3	3.55
	1.88	3.36	3.54
	1.94	3.56	3.67	Watch
	1.91	3.25	3.5
	1.85	3.36	3.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.74)	3.37 ↓ (3.66)	3.61 ↓ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad San Martín
47.9%

Draw
27%

Deportivo Llacuabamba
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

25%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad San Martín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Deportivo Llacuabamba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Universidad San Martín - Deportivo Llacuabamba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ynamine P. (G) 5. Ampuero A. 18. Arteaga A. 19. Chumpitaz I. 6. Cuba R. 29. Ismodes D. 10. Oliva E. 4. Otavio Gut 24. Pena K. 21. Romero J. 13. Vega C.	74. Diaz M. (G) 46. Aguero J. 19. Alejandria N. 3. Guadalupe Q. 30. Leudo J. 16. Oba P. 23. Rojas F. 35. Sanchez D. 4. Segura J. 14. Vilchez J. 28. Zarate M.
Substitutes
9. Affonso M. 7. Arroe J. 28. Huacachin D. 11. Matzuda M. 16. Sanchez S. 36. Spoljaric I. (G) 26. Tuesta J. 23. Vargas R. 20. Zegarra I.	29. Agurto A. 15. Cabrera A. 9. Osorio A. 17. Paredes J. 21. Ramos O. (G) 27. Rodriguez R. 44. Rossi E. 77. Urrutia B. 18. Ventura F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Rojas F. 🟨,
27', Ismodes D. 🟨,
43', Ampuero A. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 1, Otavio Gut (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Aguero J. 🟨,
62', Guadalupe Q. ↓, Rossi E. ↑,
63', Pena K. ↓, Affonso M. ↑,
63', Ismodes D. ↓, Matzuda M. ↑,
69', Alejandria N. 🟨,
73', Vilchez J. ↓, Urrutia B. ↑,
73', Aguero J. ↓, Cabrera A. ↑,
73', Rojas F. ↓, Paredes J. ↑,
77', Diaz M. 🟨,
81', Zarate M. ↓, Osorio A. ↑,
82', Rossi E. 🟨,
83', Cuba R. ↓, Arroe J. ↑,
86', Romero J. 🟨,
89', Oliva E. ↓, Sanchez S. ↑,
90+4', Osorio A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni San Martín won 3.

Llacuabamba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Uni San Martín is seen as the favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Uni San Martín won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Uni San Martín won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad San Martín
Peruvian Liga 2
05.04.26	Carlos A. Mannucci - Universidad San Martín	3:2 ✺
28.03.26	Universidad San Martín - Pirata	1:1 ✺
15.09.25	Universidad San Martín - Pirata	3:0 ✺
07.09.25	Cantolao - Universidad San Martín	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Universidad San Martín - Deportivo Llacuabamba	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTWLW
- Deportivo Llacuabamba
Peruvian Liga 2
29.03.26	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Carlos A. Mannucci	3:0 ✺
20.09.25	Cantolao - Deportivo Llacuabamba	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Deportivo Coopsol	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Universidad San Martín - Deportivo Llacuabamba	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Pirata	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
31.08.25	Universidad San Martín - Deportivo Llacuabamba	2:1
27.07.25	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Universidad San Martín	4:1
06.10.23	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Universidad San Martín	1:1 penalties
02.10.23	Universidad San Martín - Deportivo Llacuabamba	1:0
11.09.23	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Universidad San Martín	0:0
19.06.23	Universidad San Martín - Deportivo Llacuabamba	2:2
Peruvian Copa Bicentenario
13.06.21	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Universidad San Martín	3:2 penalties

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