Match Info

Date: 7 September 2022, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Patria (Sucre)

Referee: Quenta G. (Bol)


	Universitario de Sucre		Real Santa Cruz

	1	X	2
	1.61	4	5
	1.58	3.9	4.5
	1.6	3.65	4.75
	1.62	3.85	4.5
	1.63	3.87	5.35
	1.63	3.94	4.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.83)	3.87 ↑ (3.66)	4.8 ↑ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universitario de Sucre
57.1%

Draw
23.8%

Real Santa Cruz
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

25%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

24.4%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universitario de Sucre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universitario de Sucre's performance.

Real Santa Cruz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Santa Cruz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Sucre than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universitario de Sucre that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Santa Cruz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.2%	18.7%	25%

Universitario de Sucre - Real Santa Cruz Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Universitario will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Real Santa Cruz will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Universitario: 32% – 80.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 13).

Recent matches Universitario is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real Santa Cruz is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real Santa Cruz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Universitario is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Universitario won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Universitario won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universitario de Sucre
Bolivian Division Profesional
03.09.22	Real Tomayapo - Universitario de Sucre	1:1 ✺
30.08.22	Universitario de Sucre - Bolívar	2:3 ✺
27.08.22	Blooming - Universitario de Sucre	1:1 ✺
24.08.22	Universitario de Sucre - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	2:1 ✺
20.08.22	Jorge Wilstermann - Universitario de Sucre	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLTWL
- Real Santa Cruz
Bolivian Division Profesional
04.09.22	Guabirá - Real Santa Cruz	2:1 ✺
01.09.22	Real Santa Cruz - Jorge Wilstermann	0:0 ✺
26.08.22	Universitario de Vinto - Real Santa Cruz	2:0 ✺
23.08.22	Real Santa Cruz - Royal Pari	2:1 ✺
19.08.22	Independiente Petroleros - Real Santa Cruz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
01.07.22	Real Santa Cruz - Universitario de Sucre	3:0
15.04.22	Universitario de Sucre - Real Santa Cruz	2:3
06.02.22	Real Santa Cruz - Universitario de Sucre	0:1

Universitario de Sucre - Real Santa Cruz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide