Match Info

Date: 3 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio IV Centenario (Tarija)


	Real Tomayapo		Universitario de Sucre

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	4.75	Watch
	1.7	3.5	4.2
	1.76	3.25	4.25
	1.74	3.3	4.5
	1.76	3.39	4.77
				Watch
	1.71	3.48	4.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (4.2)	3.4 ↑ (1.61)	4.55 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Tomayapo
52.7%

Draw
27%

Universitario de Sucre
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

55.3%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

53%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Tomayapo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+31.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Tomayapo's performance.

Universitario de Sucre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Tomayapo than the current prediction. (-32.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Tomayapo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Sucre than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.4%	12.2%	2.4%

Real Tomayapo - Universitario de Sucre Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Tomayapo will win (votes: 35 - 85.4%). Universitario will win (votes: 1 - 2.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tomayapo: 74.6% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 14).

Tomayapo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Universitario is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Universitario could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tomayapo is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Tomayapo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Tomayapo
Bolivian Division Profesional
31.08.22	Nacional Potosí - Real Tomayapo	2:1 ✺
27.08.22	Real Tomayapo - The Strongest	0:1 ✺
24.08.22	Guabirá - Real Tomayapo	2:1 ✺
19.08.22	Real Tomayapo - Aurora	3:0 ✺
14.08.22	Oriente Petrolero - Real Tomayapo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWL
- Universitario de Sucre
Bolivian Division Profesional
30.08.22	Universitario de Sucre - Bolívar	2:3 ✺
27.08.22	Blooming - Universitario de Sucre	1:1 ✺
24.08.22	Universitario de Sucre - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	2:1 ✺
20.08.22	Jorge Wilstermann - Universitario de Sucre	5:1 ✺
14.08.22	Universitario de Sucre - Universitario de Vinto	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
26.01.22	Universitario de Sucre - Real Tomayapo	1:2
Bolivian Copa Simon Bolivar
29.09.19	Universitario de Sucre - Real Tomayapo	1:0

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