Match Info

Paulista A4 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday


	União Barbarense		Colorado Caieiras

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.2	3.5
	1.92	3.28	3.81	Watch
	1.91	3.2	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (1.92)	3.23 ↑ (3.1)	3.7 ↓ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União Barbarense
47.4%

Draw
28.1%

Colorado Caieiras
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

29.3%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

28.3%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União Barbarense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Colorado Caieiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Barbarense than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colorado Caieiras than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

União Barbarense - Colorado Caieiras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Matheus Arcanjo ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 🟥,
73', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-0.

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

União Barbarense is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Colorado Caieiras is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match União Barbarense is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches União Barbarense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0 (average 1.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União Barbarense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
29.03.25	Colorado Caieiras - União Barbarense	0:1 ✺
22.03.25	União Barbarense - Araçatuba	3:0 ✺
15.03.25	Colorado Caieiras - União Barbarense	0:2 ✺
12.03.25	União Barbarense - Inter de Bebedouro	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	VOCEM - União Barbarense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWWL
- Colorado Caieiras FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
29.03.25	Colorado Caieiras - União Barbarense	0:1 ✺
22.03.25	Grêmio Osasco Audax - Colorado Caieiras	1:3 ✺
15.03.25	Colorado Caieiras - União Barbarense	0:2 ✺
12.03.25	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - Colorado Caieiras	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Colorado Caieiras - Jabaquara	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
29.03.25	Colorado Caieiras - União Barbarense	0:1
15.03.25	Colorado Caieiras - União Barbarense	0:2

União Barbarense - Colorado Caieiras: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide