Match Info

Paulista A4 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday


	União Barbarense		Araçatuba

	1	X	2
	1.87	3	3.9
	1.83	3.04	4.32
	1.88	3.12	4.24	Watch
	1.95	3.34	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.82)	3.13 ↓ (3.25)	4.09 ↓ (4.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União Barbarense
48.5%

Draw
29.2%

Araçatuba
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

28.3%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

27.5%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União Barbarense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Araçatuba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Barbarense than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Araçatuba than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

União Barbarense - Araçatuba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Indio ⚽,
11', 2 - 0, Messias ⚽,
27', 3 - 0, Mastherson ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-3.

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

União Barbarense is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Araçatuba is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match União Barbarense is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches União Barbarense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 2.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams União Barbarense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União Barbarense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
11.04.25	Araçatuba - União Barbarense	3:2 ✺
06.04.25	União Barbarense - Colorado Caieiras	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Colorado Caieiras - União Barbarense	0:1 ✺
22.03.25	União Barbarense - Araçatuba	3:0 ✺
15.03.25	Colorado Caieiras - União Barbarense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTWWW
- AEA Araçatuba
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
11.04.25	Araçatuba - União Barbarense	3:2 ✺
05.04.25	Taquaritinga - Araçatuba	0:3 ✺
29.03.25	Araçatuba - Taquaritinga	0:1 ✺
22.03.25	União Barbarense - Araçatuba	3:0 ✺
15.03.25	Araçatuba - Taquaritinga	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
11.04.25	Araçatuba - União Barbarense	3:2
22.03.25	União Barbarense - Araçatuba	3:0

União Barbarense - Araçatuba: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide