Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 15

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Comendador Henrique Amorim (Santa Maria de Lamas)


	União Lamas		Aparecida

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.25	3.95
	1.82	3.38	4.07	Watch
	1.8	3.25	3.8
	1.86	3.51	3.87
	1.75	3.33	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.78)	3.34 ↑ (3.33)	3.98 ↓ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União Lamas
50.1%

Draw
27.1%

Aparecida
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

27.1%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

22.3%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União Lamas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Aparecida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União Lamas than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with União Lamas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aparecida than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

União Lamas - Aparecida Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 9 and 11 in the zone Relegation)

União Lamas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Aparecida is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, União Lamas is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, União Lamas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Uniao Lamas	4	1	2	1	5:5	0	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF União Lamas
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
10.01.26	Resende - União Lamas	3:1 ✺
21.12.25	Salgueiros 08 - União Lamas	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	União Lamas - Beira-Mar	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Anadia - União Lamas	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	União Lamas - Gouveia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWLW
- Aparecida FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
10.01.26	Aparecida - Alpendorada	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Aparecida - Cinfães	1:4 ✺
14.12.25	Florgrade - Aparecida	3:1 ✺
07.12.25	Aparecida - Leça	3:4 ✺
29.11.25	Vila Real - Aparecida	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
17.08.25	Aparecida - União Lamas	3:1

União Lamas - Aparecida: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide