Match Info

Paulista A3 - Round 6

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday


	União Suzano		Itapirense

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.05	2.48
	2.54	3.03	2.62
	2.59	3.1	2.59	Watch
	2.63	2.8	2.63
	2.54	3	2.59
	2.54	3	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.39)	3 ↓ (3.19)	2.59 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União Suzano
35.1%

Draw
30.1%

Itapirense
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

28.7%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

27.8%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União Suzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Itapirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Suzano than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itapirense than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

União Suzano - Itapirense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Bryan ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
59', 2 - 0, Tiago Cunha ⚽,
62', 2 - 1, Andre d. S. R. ⚽,
75', 3 - 1, Jotta ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4 and 12).

União Suzano has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Itapirense is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, União Suzano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Including home match between the teams, União Suzano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União Suzano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
08.02.26	Francana - União Suzano	3:0 ✺
04.02.26	União Suzano - Catanduva	2:3 ✺
01.02.26	EC São Bernardo - União Suzano	1:1 ✺
29.01.26	Portuguesa Santista - União Suzano	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	União Suzano - Desportivo Brasil	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLTLL
- SE Itapirense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
08.02.26	Itapirense - XV de Jaú	1:3 ✺
04.02.26	Itapirense - Marília	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Catanduva - Itapirense	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	Itapirense - Francana	2:0 ✺
23.01.26	Paulista - Itapirense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
22.02.25	Itapirense - União Suzano	2:0
23.03.24	União Suzano - Itapirense	0:0

União Suzano - Itapirense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide