Match Info

Paulista A3 - Round 5

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday


	Itapirense		XV de Jaú

	1	X	2
	2.72	2.68	2.72
	2.88	2.58	2.71
	1.00	1.00	1.06	Watch
	2.8	2.63	2.63
	2.84	2.62	2.64
	2.85	2.54	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.1)	2.34 ↓ (3)	2.41 ↓ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 10.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Itapirense
32.1%

Draw
34.5%

XV de Jaú
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

30%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Itapirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Itapirense's form might have worsened.

XV de Jaú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting XV de Jaú's recent form is better than expected.

Itapirense - XV de Jaú Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Tche Tche ⚽,
8', 0 - 2, Quintero J. ⚽,
45+6', Jadson 🟥,
45+7', Rifle 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 0 - 3, Ardley ⚽,
76', 1 - 3, Thauan ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Itapirense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Itapirense will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Itapirense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SE Itapirense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
04.02.26	Itapirense - Marília	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Catanduva - Itapirense	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	Itapirense - Francana	2:0 ✺
23.01.26	Paulista - Itapirense	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Paulista
16.08.25	Internacional de Limeira - Itapirense	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.1 LLWTW
- EC XV de Jaú
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
04.02.26	XV de Jaú - EC São Bernardo	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	Rio Branco de Americana - XV de Jaú	0:1 ✺
23.01.26	XV de Jaú - União São João	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Comercial SP - XV de Jaú	0:0 ✺
12.03.25	XV de Jaú - União Suzano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
05.03.25	XV de Jaú - Itapirense	1:0

Itapirense - XV de Jaú: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide