Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A3 - Round 15

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday


	União São João		Rio Preto

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.95	3.1
	1.9	3.1	4
	1.85	3.17	4.32	Watch
	1.84	3.04	4.43
	1.9	3.1	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.17)	3.07 ↓ (3.13)	3.97 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União São João
47.3%

Draw
29.7%

Rio Preto
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

29.2%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

29.6%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União São João has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in União São João's performance.

Rio Preto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rio Preto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União São João than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Preto than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rio Preto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	11.8%	0%

União São João - Rio Preto Predictions

Users Predictions: União São João will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Jhoninha ⚽,
45+3', 2 - 0, Thiago Timbo ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
69', 3 - 0, Leo Machado ⚽,
85', 4 - 0, Caio Henrique ⚽,
90+4', Leo Machado 🟥,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent matches União São João is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rio Preto is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

União São João will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches União São João won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União São João de Araras
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
08.03.25	Lemense FC - União São João	0:1 ✺
05.03.25	União São João - Catanduva	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	União São João - Atlético Monte Azul	0:1 ✺
26.02.25	Francana - União São João	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	União São João - Rio Branco de Americana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWLLW
- Rio Preto EC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
08.03.25	Rio Preto - Sertãozinho	1:1 ✺
05.03.25	Marília - Rio Preto	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Rio Preto - Bandeirante	3:0 ✺
26.02.25	Rio Preto - Itapirense	0:0 ✺
23.02.25	XV de Jaú - Rio Preto	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
07.02.24	Rio Preto - União São João	0:1

União São João - Rio Preto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide