Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A3 - Round 11

Date: 26 February 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Rio Preto		Itapirense

	1	X	2
	2.26	2.95	3.15
	2.25	2.86	3.21
	2.3	3.07	3.05	Watch
	2.29	3.22	3.12
	2.26	2.95	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.38)	3.01 ↓ (3.1)	3.14 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Preto
40.3%

Draw
30.4%

Itapirense
29.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38%

29.2%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

29.9%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Preto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Itapirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Preto than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itapirense than the current prediction. (+2%)

Rio Preto - Itapirense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Rio Preto is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Itapirense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Itapirense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rio Preto won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Preto EC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
23.02.25	XV de Jaú - Rio Preto	0:1 ✺
19.02.25	Lemense FC - Rio Preto	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Rio Preto - Francana	0:1 ✺
08.02.25	União Suzano - Rio Preto	1:0 ✺
05.02.25	Rio Preto - EC São Bernardo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLLT
- SE Itapirense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
22.02.25	Itapirense - União Suzano	2:0 ✺
19.02.25	Itapirense - Desportivo Brasil	2:3 ✺
15.02.25	Comercial SP - Itapirense	1:2 ✺
09.02.25	Francana - Itapirense	1:2 ✺
05.02.25	Itapirense - Sertãozinho	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
03.02.24	Itapirense - Rio Preto	1:1

Rio Preto - Itapirense