Match Info

Date: 11 December 2021, Saturday


	União de Santarém		Oriental Dragon

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	2.75
	2.3	3.6	2.6
	2.28	3.25	2.75
	2.31	3.97	2.54
	2.44	3.28	2.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.84)	3.5 ↑ (3.17)	2.66 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União de Santarém
39.7%

Draw
26.1%

Oriental Dragon
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

28.7%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

20.9%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União de Santarém has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in União de Santarém's performance.

Oriental Dragon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oriental Dragon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (-16.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with União de Santarém that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriental Dragon than the current prediction. (+19.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oriental Dragon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group) and 8 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group)).

União de Santarém is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Oriental Dragon is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

União de Santarém could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches União de Santarém won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União de Santarém
Portuguese Liga 3
04.12.21	União de Santarém - Oliveira Hospital	1:1 ✺
26.11.21	Leiria - União de Santarém	2:1 ✺
06.11.21	União de Santarém - Amora	1:1 ✺
29.10.21	Alverca - União de Santarém	3:1 ✺
23.10.21	União de Santarém - Cova De Piedade	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLTLL
- Oriental Dragon FC
Portuguese Liga 3
08.12.21	Cova De Piedade - Oriental Dragon	0:2 ✺
03.12.21	Oriental Dragon - Sporting Lisbon B	0:0 ✺
27.11.21	Oriental Dragon - Setúbal	1:1 ✺
07.11.21	Oliveira Hospital - Oriental Dragon	3:3 ✺
31.10.21	Oriental Dragon - Torreense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
14.08.21	Oriental Dragon - União de Santarém	1:2

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