Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 3

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Campo Cha das Padeiras (Santarem)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	União de Santarém		Oliveira Hospital

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.1	3.5
	2.02	3.32	3.93
				Watch
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.02)	3.21 ↑ (3.12)	3.72 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União de Santarém
46.6%

Draw
28.7%

Oliveira Hospital
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

29.4%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

29%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União de Santarém has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Oliveira Hospital has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveira Hospital than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

União de Santarém - Oliveira Hospital Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pinto Galil L. G. (G) 21. Araujo P. 5. Ferreira K. 76. Alcobia R. 11. Joao Ricardo 16. Grilo M. (C) 8. Vieira A. 13. Apolinario R. 31. Balau D. 9. Gustavo Franca 81. Goncalves E. F.	23. Andre Paulo (G) 44. Pablo Veloso 30. Vinhas D. 28. Nascimento D. (C) 17. Pinheiro L. 16. Geovanny 38. Oliveira M. 19. Michel 55. Silva T. 9. Gracio D. 18. Souza E.
Substitutes
19. Araujo R. 99. Breno 44. Doukoure H. 67. Fernandes R. 22. Hidalgo N. (G) 27. Juninho 10. Madeira T. 14. Simoes J. 20. Ventura B.	66. Carreira R. 8. David Bras 12. Fajardo R. 71. Fernandes L. (G) . Io S. 15. Manoel Atanasio 11. Neiva G. 21. Urco 7. Varela A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Joao Ricardo 🟨,
22', Gracio D. ↓, David Bras ↑,
42', Ferreira K. 🟨,
45+6', 1 - 0, Apolinario R. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Pinheiro L. ↓, Neiva G. ↑,
46', Nascimento D. ↓, Carreira R. ↑,
56', Vinhas D. ↓, Urco ↑,
63', Silva T. ↓, Varela A. ↑,
74', Gustavo Franca ↓, Araujo R. ↑,
75', Vieira A. ↓, Ventura B. ↑,
81', 2 - 0, Ventura B. ⚽,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Santarém is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Oliveira Hospital is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Oliveira Hospital could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Santarém is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santarém won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:8 (average 1:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Santarém won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União de Santarém
Portuguese Liga 3
15.02.25	União de Santarém - Académica Coimbra	0:0 ✺
25.01.25	Covilhã - União de Santarém	3:1 ✺
19.01.25	União de Santarém - SC Lusitânia	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Belenenses - União de Santarém	2:0 ✺
05.01.25	União de Santarém - 1 Dezembro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLWLW
- Oliveira Hospital
Portuguese Liga 3
23.02.25	Covilhã - Oliveira Hospital	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Oliveira Hospital - SC Lusitânia	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Atlético CP - Oliveira Hospital	2:0 ✺
22.01.25	SC Lusitânia - Oliveira Hospital	0:0 ✺
19.01.25	Oliveira Hospital - Covilhã	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
01.11.24	União de Santarém - Oliveira Hospital	2:2
12.10.24	Oliveira Hospital - União de Santarém	1:2
26.02.22	Oliveira Hospital - União de Santarém	1:0
04.12.21	União de Santarém - Oliveira Hospital	1:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
22.12.19	Oliveira Hospital - União de Santarém	3:0

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