Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 9

Date: 27 November 2022, Sunday


	União de Santarém		União da Serra

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.5	5
	1.67	3.15	4.7
	1.59	3.55	5
	1.58	3.47	5.79
	1.54	3.66	5.65
	1.61	3.65	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.87)	3.5 ↑ (3.28)	5.22 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União de Santarém
56.8%

Draw
25.9%

União da Serra
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

27.8%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

27.2%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União de Santarém has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in União de Santarém's performance.

União da Serra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and União da Serra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with União de Santarém that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União da Serra than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that União da Serra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 9 in the zone Relegation).

União de Santarém is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches União da Serra is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match União de Santarém is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União de Santarém
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
20.11.22	Sertanense - União de Santarém	0:0 ✺
13.11.22	União de Santarém - Alcains	1:0 ✺
06.11.22	Loures - União de Santarém	1:1 ✺
30.10.22	União de Santarém - Pero Pinheiro	2:1 ✺
23.10.22	Coruchense - União de Santarém	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWTWT
- União da Serra
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
20.11.22	União da Serra - SB Castelo Branco	1:1 ✺
13.11.22	Rio Maior - União da Serra	1:2 ✺
06.11.22	União da Serra - Marinhense	1:2 ✺
30.10.22	1 Dezembro - União da Serra	2:0 ✺
23.10.22	União da Serra - Mortágua	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWLLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União de Santarém
Portuguese Liga 3
09.10.26	União de Santarém - Lusitano GC	✺

União de Santarém - União da Serra: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide