Match Info

Date: 28 March 2021, Sunday


	Unión Adarve		Moratalaz

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.95	2.95
	1.75	3.5	3.95
	1.78	3.58	3.98
	1.85	3.2	4.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.66)	3.31 ↑ (3.18)	3.81 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Adarve
48.6%

Draw
27.5%

Moratalaz
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

28.9%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

20.2%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Adarve has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Adarve's performance.

Moratalaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moratalaz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Adarve than the current prediction. (-24.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión Adarve that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moratalaz than the current prediction. (+28.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moratalaz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Unión Adarve - Moratalaz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion to Tercera Division to Group 7 (Promotion Group) and 1 in the zone Promotion to Tercera Division to Group 7 (Promotion Group)).

Recent matches Unión Adarve is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Moratalaz is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Unión Adarve could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Moratalaz have a series of home games.

Unión Adarve will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Unión Adarve won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Unión Adarve
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
21.03.21	Complutense Alcalá - Unión Adarve	1:0 ✺
10.03.21	Paracuellos Antamira - Unión Adarve	2:2 ✺
07.03.21	Rayo Vallecano B - Unión Adarve	1:0 ✺
03.03.21	Unión Adarve - Flat Earth	2:0 ✺
28.02.21	Unión Adarve - San Fernando de Henares	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTLWW
- ED Moratalaz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
24.03.21	Moratalaz - Santa Ana	3:0 ✺
21.03.21	Moratalaz - Flat Earth	1:0 ✺
17.03.21	Moratalaz - Complutense Alcalá	2:0 ✺
10.03.21	Torrejón - Moratalaz	3:0 ✺
25.02.21	Moratalaz - Rayo Vallecano B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
11.02.21	Moratalaz - Unión Adarve	3:1
26.01.20	Moratalaz - Unión Adarve	1:1

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