Match Info

Date: 28 February 2021, Sunday


	Unión Adarve		San Fernando de Henares

	1	X	2
	1.42	4	6.4
	1.4	4.16	6.95
	1.41	4.15	7.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.6)	4.1 ↑ (3.6)	6.88 ↑ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Adarve
64.6%

Draw
22.2%

San Fernando de Henares
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

25.5%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

16.1%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Adarve has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Adarve's performance.

San Fernando de Henares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Adarve than the current prediction. (-28.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión Adarve that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Fernando de Henares than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Fernando de Henares could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion to Tercera Division to Group 7 (Promotion Group) and 9 in the zone Tercera Division to Group 7 (Relegation Group)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

San Fernando could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Unión Adarve is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Unión Adarve won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Unión Adarve won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Unión Adarve
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
14.02.21	Alcalá - Unión Adarve	1:1 ✺
11.02.21	Moratalaz - Unión Adarve	3:1 ✺
07.02.21	Unión Adarve - Santa Ana	4:1 ✺
31.01.21	Torrejón - Unión Adarve	0:0 ✺
24.01.21	Unión Adarve - Siello	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLWTW
- CD San Fernando de Henares
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
21.02.21	San Fernando de Henares - Paracuellos Antamira	2:0 ✺
14.02.21	Flat Earth - San Fernando de Henares	2:1 ✺
10.02.21	Santa Ana - San Fernando de Henares	4:2 ✺
07.02.21	San Fernando de Henares - Moratalaz	0:0 ✺
03.02.21	Pozuelo de Alarcón - San Fernando de Henares	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
29.11.20	San Fernando de Henares - Unión Adarve	0:1
23.02.20	San Fernando de Henares - Unión Adarve	1:1
06.10.19	Unión Adarve - San Fernando de Henares	1:0

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