Match Info

Liga 2 - Round 9

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Carlos Vidaurre Garcia (Tarapoto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Juntos


	Unión Comercio		ADA Jaén

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.65	4.85
	1.45	3.79	5.77
	1.57	3.75	5.72	Watch
	1.5	3.5	6
	1.55	3.7	5.38
	1.57	3.8	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.57)	3.7 ↓ (3.8)	5.41 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Comercio
58.8%

Draw
24.4%

ADA Jaén
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

23.7%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

23.1%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Comercio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ADA Jaén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Comercio than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADA Jaén than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Unión Comercio - ADA Jaén Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Garcia L. (G) 27. Aguirre F. 5. Alvarez E. 34. Cruz E. 2. Godoy M. A. 99. Goluz Pena B. 10. Guerrero G. (C) 31. Pinedo A. 15. Vargas C. 7. Vargas C. 17. Vargas D.	12. Rabines M. (G) 22. Acevedo G. (C) 36. Beltran A. 7. Duque L. 37. Maciel E. 30. Marina J. 27. Rabanal E. 9. Rodriguez F. 19. Ruiz H. 33. Tecilla N. 5. Vidal A.
Substitutes
14. Barragan M. 1. Cachique H. (G) 30. Calero A. 19. Delgado G. 40. Gavino L. 21. Gomez R. 24. Javier Navea 33. Jimenez O. 26. Tandazo J.	13. Cano L. 88. Franco E. (G) 11. Perea M. 24. Raffo R. 15. Ratto P. 14. Rivera J. 8. Rodriguez N. 6. Sanchez A. 26. Yllescas J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 0, Goluz Pena B. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: )).

Unión Comercio is Qualified for Liga 2 (Promotion Group )

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

ADA may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Unión Comercio is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Unión Comercio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Unión Comercio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Comercio
Peruvian Liga 2
23.05.26	Universidad San Martín - Unión Comercio	0:1 ✺
17.05.26	Unión Comercio - Deportivo Llacuabamba	0:0 ✺
09.05.26	Carlos A. Mannucci - Unión Comercio	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Unión Comercio - Pirata	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	Cantolao - Unión Comercio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTTLW
- ADA Jaén
Peruvian Liga 2
25.05.26	ADA Jaén - Universidad César Vallejo	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	ADA Jaén - Universidad San Martín	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	Deportivo Llacuabamba - ADA Jaén	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	ADA Jaén - Carlos A. Mannucci	0:0 ✺
06.04.26	Pirata - ADA Jaén	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
13.09.25	ADA Jaén - Unión Comercio	2:0
10.08.25	Unión Comercio - ADA Jaén	2:0
Club Friendly
23.03.25	ADA Jaén - Unión Comercio	1:0

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