Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 5

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK (Santiago de Chile)


	Unión Española		Deportes Puerto Montt

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.1	3.45
	2.05	3.14	3.54
	2.06	3.34	3.53	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.4
	2.03	3.06	3.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.98)	3.11 ↓ (3.68)	3.5 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Española
44.4%

Draw
29.5%

Deportes Puerto Montt
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

25.2%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

25.7%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Deportes Puerto Montt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Puerto Montt than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Unión Española - Deportes Puerto Montt Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Unión Española will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Puerto Montt will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Unión Española (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Fierro J. (G) 2. Contreras K. 26. Roco B. 21. Pereira S. 24. Norambuena G. 5. Machado W. 14. Nunez I. 23. Ojeda U. 20. Wassenne M. 8. Rubio P. 10. Aranguiz P. (C)	13. Ureta L. (C) 17. Nieto B. 2. Morales A. 4. Riveros M. 15. Egana K. 34. Gonzalez K. 23. Castillo G. 20. Bahamonde D. 18. Sabella A. 16. Flores J. 8. Paredes R.
Substitutes
4. Celis M. 6. Jauregui B. 17. Massri F. 32. Molina L. 16. Ormeno M. 1. Rodriguez M. (G) 9. Vilches Araneda A.	5. Calisto F. 14. Cardenas J. 7. Clerveaux M. 1. Escobar M. (G) 28. Perez S. 3. Pino Villalon J. 10. Vargas C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', Ojeda U. 🟨,
33', Castillo G. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Contreras K. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Nunez I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gonzalez K. ↓, Clerveaux M. ↑,
46', Bahamonde D. ↓, Perez S. ↑,
49', 2 - 1, Perez S. ⚽,
55', Roco B. 🟨,
58', Contreras K. 🟨,
58', Sabella A. 🟨,
60', Nunez I. ↓, Jauregui B. ↑,
62', Sabella A. ↓, Cardenas J. ↑,
70', Perez S. 🟨,
70', Aranguiz P. ↓, Ormeno M. ↑,
70', Castillo G. ↓, Vargas C. ↑,
82', Ojeda U. ↓, Massri F. ↑,
83', Roco B. ↓, Celis M. ↑,
90+2', Ormeno M. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera).

Unión Española is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Puerto Montt is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Unión Española will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Unión Española won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Unión Española won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	U. Espanola	26	10	6	10	32:34	-2	36
10	D. Puerto Montt	26	10	4	12	26:34	-8	34

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Española
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
15.03.26	Deportes Antofagasta - Unión Española	2:1 ✺
10.03.26	Unión Española - Deportes Magallanes	1:2 ✺
27.02.26	Deportes Recoleta - Unión Española	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Unión Española - San Luis de Quillota	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
11.02.26	Colo-Colo - Unión Española	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLLWT
- Deportes Puerto Montt
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
15.03.26	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Santa Cruz	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Recoleta	3:1 ✺
01.03.26	Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Puerto Montt	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Copiapó	2:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
07.02.26	Deportes Temuco - Deportes Puerto Montt	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Cup
27.06.21	Unión Española - Deportes Puerto Montt	2:3
23.06.21	Deportes Puerto Montt - Unión Española	0:2

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