Match Info

PERU: LIGA 2 - ROUND 13

Date: 3 July 2023, Monday


	Unión Huaral		Alianza Universidad de Huánuco

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.7	1.65
	4.2	3.3	1.72
	4.46	3.6	1.66
	4.6	3.6	1.63
	4.65	3.94	1.62	Watch
	4.3	3.7	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.39 ↑ (3.05)	3.64 ↑ (3.16)	1.66 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Huaral
20.6%

Draw
24.8%

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

28.6%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

27.8%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Huaral has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión Huaral's form might have worsened.

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alianza Universidad de Huánuco's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Huaral than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión Huaral, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	10%	80%

Unión Huaral - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco Predictions

Users Predictions: Alianza Universidad de Huánuco will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silva L. (G) 25. Ardiles R. 18. Chavez L. 7. Chinga R. 22. Gonzalez M. 16. Huacho R. 21. Lopez M. 30. Marina J. 14. Rengifo R. (C) 23. Shimura E. 24. Sulca J.	95. Prieto D. (G) 21. Aoki A. 17. Campodonico R. 10. Carabano D. (C) 28. Cruzado P. 7. Espinoza Vega F. E. 14. Guevara B. 6. Ibarguen J. 26. Iraola G. 3. Schmidt F. 38. Sernaque J.
Substitutes
15. de la Cruz K. 3. Navarro M. 4. Ocana M. 12. Romero N. (G) 19. Ruiz D. 31. Torrejon F. 11. Ubierna B.	19. Aivar F. 27. Camara J. 1. Figueroa E. (G) 4. Laura C. 23. Monsalvo C. 22. Plasencia I. 11. Vasquez Ortega E. O.

Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Unión Huaral has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Alianza Universidad is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Unión Huaral could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Alianza Universidad will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Unión Huaral won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Unión Huaral won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Huaral
Peruvian Liga 2
27.06.23	Los Chankas - Unión Huaral	3:0 ✺
24.06.23	Unión Huaral - Juan Aurich	1:3 ✺
19.06.23	Unión Huaral - Comerciantes Unidos	1:5 ✺
15.06.23	Deportivo Coopsol - Unión Huaral	1:0 ✺
07.06.23	Unión Huaral - Deportivo Llacuabamba	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT
- Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
Peruvian Liga 2
26.06.23	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Comerciantes Belén	1:0 ✺
18.06.23	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Juan Aurich	2:0 ✺
11.06.23	Los Chankas - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	2:2 ✺
05.06.23	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Comerciantes Unidos	0:3 ✺
29.05.23	Deportivo Coopsol - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
14.08.22	Unión Huaral - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	1:1
15.05.22	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Unión Huaral	1:3
02.10.16	Unión Huaral - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	0:0
12.06.16	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Unión Huaral	1:0

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