Match Info

Date: 15 January 2021, Friday


	Unión Magdalena		Llaneros de Guanare

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.95	2.75
	2.38	2.85	2.95	Watch
	2.46	2.85	2.85
	2.62	2.96	3.08
	2.55	2.8	2.88
	2.5	3.02	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.07)	2.91 ↓ (3.02)	2.9 ↓ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Magdalena
36.8%

Draw
31.6%

Llaneros de Guanare
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

30.2%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

22.5%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Magdalena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión Magdalena's form might have worsened.

Llaneros de Guanare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Llaneros de Guanare's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (+22.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión Magdalena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llaneros de Guanare than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Llaneros de Guanare, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Unión Magdalena - Llaneros de Guanare Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Unión Magdalena is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Llaneros has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Unión Magdalena won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Unión Magdalena won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Magdalena
Colombian Primera B
19.12.20	Unión Magdalena - Llaneros de Guanare	2:0 ✺
14.12.20	Deportes Quindío - Unión Magdalena	2:2 ✺
07.12.20	Atlético Huila - Unión Magdalena	2:1 ✺
30.11.20	Unión Magdalena - Atlético Huila	2:3 ✺
25.11.20	Unión Magdalena - Deportes Quindío	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTLLL
- Llaneros de Guanare FC
Colombian Primera B
19.12.20	Unión Magdalena - Llaneros de Guanare	2:0 ✺
13.12.20	Llaneros de Guanare - Atlético Huila	0:1 ✺
Venezuelan Segunda Division
08.12.20	Llaneros de Guanare - Hermanos Colmenares	1:2 ✺
Colombian Primera B
06.12.20	Deportes Quindío - Llaneros de Guanare	2:0 ✺
Venezuelan Segunda Division
04.12.20	Hermanos Colmenares - Llaneros de Guanare	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
19.12.20	Unión Magdalena - Llaneros de Guanare	2:0
21.11.20	Llaneros de Guanare - Unión Magdalena	1:2
31.01.20	Llaneros de Guanare - Unión Magdalena	4:0
28.08.18	Llaneros de Guanare - Unión Magdalena	2:1
01.04.18	Unión Magdalena - Llaneros de Guanare	0:0
Colombian Copa
14.03.18	Llaneros de Guanare - Unión Magdalena	2:1 penalties
10.03.18	Unión Magdalena - Llaneros de Guanare	0:0

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