The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Unión Minas 65.4%
Draw 20.8%
Ayacucho 13.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
58.5%
21.6%
19.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.7%
20.5%
18.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Minas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Minas's performance.
Ayacucho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ayacucho might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Minas than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ayacucho could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Unión Minas - Ayacucho Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Duque L. (G) 12. Baylon L. 11. Carranza T. 27. Chavez D. 17. Correa M. 10. Garcia L. 33. Pereira G. 20. Quina M. 30. Ruiz C. 18. Santibanez S. 14. Trujillo L.
1. Acosta M. (G) 25. Albornoz C. H. 29. Aquino H. 6. Banega F. 11. Barboza S. 15. Gonzales E. 7. Infante M. 21. Morales J. 19. Tamariz A. 17. Tuesta J. 22. Velasquez J.
Substitutes
5. Agurto A. 19. Alania D. 25. Ardiles R. 23. Chinga R. 31. Gamboa B. (G) 8. Lopez S. 9. Mena Y. 7. Ramirez D. 2. Zamalloa F.
30. Cabrera O. (G) 24. Diaz M. 4. Gavilan Y. 18. Huyhua C. 10. Mezarina F. 14. Ochante A. 33. Salcedo F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Gonzales E. ⚽,
38', Correa M. ↓, Agurto A. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ruiz C. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
46', Baylon L. ↓, Zamalloa F. ↑,
49', Carranza T. 🟨,
67', Tamariz A. 🟨,
68', Gonzales E. ↓, Salcedo F. ↑,
76', Infante M. ↓, Gavilan Y. ↑,
90', 🟨,
90+1', 0 - 2, Tuesta J. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 2, Alania D. ⚽,
Preview
In recent outings, Minas has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Ayacucho has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Bookmakers give the edge to Minas for this game.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Minas has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:4 (averaging 1.7:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Minas against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals.
Watch
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Duque L. (G) 
Baylon L. 
Pereira G. 
Salcedo F. 
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