Match Info

Liga 2 - Promotion Group - Round 1

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Ayacucho		Unión Minas

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.00	2.60
	2.16	3.05	3.05
	2.47	3.04	2.64
	2.53	3.19	2.77	Watch
	2.40	3.00	2.60
	2.40	3.23	2.82
	2.40	3.05	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.12)	3.08 ↓ (3.1)	2.73 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ayacucho
37.6%

Draw
29.3%

Unión Minas
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

29.7%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayacucho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Unión Minas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ayacucho, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Minas than the current prediction. (-5%)

Ayacucho - Unión Minas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Acosta M. (G) 25. Albornoz C. H. 2. Aquino H. 6. Banega F. 11. Barboza S. 20. Fanarraga A. 15. Gonzales E. 7. Infante M. 29. Lojas S. 19. Tamariz A. 22. Velasquez J.	29. Duque L. (G) 5. Agurto A. 12. Baylon L. 11. Carranza T. 27. Chavez D. 6. Delgado M. 8. Lopez S. 33. Pereira G. 18. Santibanez S. 14. Trujillo L. 2. Zamalloa F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Barboza S. ⚽,
22', Lopez S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zamalloa F. ↓, Chinga R. ↑,
46', Chavez D. ↓, Velasco S. ↑,
46', Trujillo L. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
46', Tamariz A. 🟨,
65', Lopez S. ↓, Ardiles R. ↑,
66', Pereira G. 🟥,
68', Fanarraga A. ↓, Huyhua C. ↑,
68', Banega F. ↓, Ochante A. ↑,
69', Agurto A. ↓, Alania D. ↑,
81', Barboza S. ↓, Morales J. ↑,

Preview

Ayacucho is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Minas is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Ayacucho has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:5 (averaging 1.5:2.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ayacucho against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:2 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ayacucho FC
Peruvian Liga 2
12.09.26	Ayacucho - Sport Huancayo 2	0:2 ✺
04.09.26	Comerciantes Belén - Ayacucho	5:1 ✺
22.08.26	Ayacucho - Escuela Municipal Binacional	7:1 ✺
15.08.26	Unión Minas - Ayacucho	3:1 ✺
02.08.26	Bentín Tacna Heroica - Ayacucho	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL
- Unión Minas
Peruvian Liga 2
12.09.26	Unión Minas - Santos	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Unión Minas	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Unión Minas - Sport Huancayo 2	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Comerciantes Belén - Unión Minas	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Unión Minas - Ayacucho	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
15.08.26	Unión Minas - Ayacucho	3:1
02.05.26	Ayacucho - Unión Minas	2:2

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