Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Unión Molinense		Bala Azul

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.10	3.80
	1.88	3.1	3.85
	2	3.09	3.56
	1.97	3.24	3.71	Watch
	1.96	3	3.45
	1.9	3.13	3.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.8)	3.11 ↓ (3.24)	3.7 ↓ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Molinense
46.6%

Draw
29%

Bala Azul
24.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.1%

27.9%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

27.3%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Molinense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Bala Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Molinense than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bala Azul than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs and 9th).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Molinense carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Molinense has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:3 (averaging 1:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Molinense against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:2 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Molinense	7	3	3	1	14:9	5	12
9	Bala Azul	7	2	3	2	8:8	0	9

Last Results with these Odds

Unión Molinense - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 50.09%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Molinense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
04.10.26	Águilas B - Unión Molinense	1:1 ✺
27.09.26	Unión Molinense - Mazarrón	3:2 ✺
20.09.26	Olímpico de Totana - Unión Molinense	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Unión Molinense - San Javier	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Cartagena B - Unión Molinense	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWLTW
- CD Bala Azul
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
10.10.26	Pulpileño - Bala Azul	2:3 ✺
04.10.26	Cotillas - Bala Azul	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Bala Azul - Alcantarilla	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Águilas B - Bala Azul	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Bala Azul - Mazarrón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
01.02.26	Unión Molinense - Bala Azul	2:1
20.09.25	Bala Azul - Unión Molinense	0:0
09.03.25	Unión Molinense - Bala Azul	1:1
27.10.24	Bala Azul - Unión Molinense	1:1

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