Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 31

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday


	Unión Molinense		Pulpileño

	1	X	2
	1.88	2.98	4.05
	1.88	2.91	3.97
	1.99	3.08	3.94	Watch
	1.95	2.88	4
	1.86	2.99	4.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.83)	2.97 ↓ (3.13)	4.06 ↓ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Molinense
47.3%

Draw
30.5%

Pulpileño
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

29.1%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

31.7%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Molinense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Pulpileño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Molinense than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión Molinense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pulpileño than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Unión Molinense - Pulpileño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: ) and 7).

Molinense has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pulpileño is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Pulpileño may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Molinense is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Molinense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Molinense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Molinense	5	2	2	1	10:8	2	8
5	Pulpileno	5	2	2	1	6:4	2	8

Last Results with these Odds

Unión Molinense - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 49.81%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Molinense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
11.04.26	Águilas B - Unión Molinense	2:1 ✺
02.04.26	Unión Molinense - UCAM Murcia B	3:3 ✺
29.03.26	Mazarrón - Unión Molinense	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Unión Molinense - El Palmar	3:0 ✺
15.03.26	Deportivo Marítimo - Unión Molinense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLWT
- CA Pulpileño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
12.04.26	Pulpileño - Atlético Santa Cruz	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Santomera - Pulpileño	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Pulpileño - Caravaca	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Cieza - Pulpileño	1:1 ✺
19.03.26	Minerva - Pulpileño	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
21.01.26	Pulpileño - Unión Molinense	0:1
30.03.25	Pulpileño - Unión Molinense	2:1
17.11.24	Unión Molinense - Pulpileño	3:1
06.01.24	Pulpileño - Unión Molinense	1:1
15.01.23	Unión Molinense - Pulpileño	0:2

Unión Molinense - Pulpileño: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide