The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Unión Santa Fe 2 32.9%
Draw 28.4%
Rosario Central 2 38.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.2%
27%
49.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.8%
26.6%
50.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Santa Fe 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Santa Fe 2's performance.
Rosario Central 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rosario Central 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe 2 than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión Santa Fe 2 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central 2 than the current prediction. (+12%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rosario Central 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Unión Santa Fe 2 - Rosario Central 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, ⚽,
61', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Unión Santa Fe 2 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Rosario Central 2 is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Unión Santa Fe 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Rosario Central 2 will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Unión Santa Fe 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Unión Santa Fe 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Unión Santa Fe 2 - the odds 3.85 are the expected chance of winning is 23.16%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.