Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 25

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday


	Lanzarote		Unión Sur Yaiza

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.6	5.35
	1.6	3.71	5.24
	1.62	3.6	5.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 (1.59)	3.64 ↑ (3.64)	5.24 (5.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lanzarote
57.4%

Draw
25.1%

Unión Sur Yaiza
17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

24.2%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Lanzarote have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Unión Sur Yaiza have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanzarote than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Sur Yaiza than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Lanzarote - Unión Sur Yaiza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lanzarote won 1.

Lanzarote is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Unión Sur Yaiza's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Unión Sur Yaiza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Lanzarote is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lanzarote won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Lanzarote won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Lanzarote	4	1	3	0	5:4	1	6
15	Yaiza	4	1	0	3	4:6	-2	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Lanzarote
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
28.02.26	Telde - Lanzarote	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Lanzarote - Arcángel San Miguel	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Marino - Lanzarote	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Mensajero - Lanzarote	3:0 ✺
17.01.26	Tenerife C - Lanzarote	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTTLL
- CD Unión Sur Yaiza
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
01.03.26	Unión Sur Yaiza - Arcángel San Miguel	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	Unión Sur Yaiza - Tenisca	4:0 ✺
07.02.26	Real Unión - Unión Sur Yaiza	2:0 ✺
14.01.26	Mensajero - Unión Sur Yaiza	3:0 ✺
10.01.26	Unión Sur Yaiza - Panadería Pulido	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
20.01.24	Unión Sur Yaiza - Lanzarote	0:0
15.01.23	Lanzarote - Unión Sur Yaiza	0:1
10.09.22	Unión Sur Yaiza - Lanzarote	2:2
05.03.22	Unión Sur Yaiza - Lanzarote	0:2
24.10.21	Lanzarote - Unión Sur Yaiza	0:1

Lanzarote - Unión Sur Yaiza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide