Match Info

Motsepe Foundation Championship - Round 25

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Upington City		JDR Stars

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.9	2.3
	3.15	3	2.22
	3.33	3.06	2.17	Watch
	3.41	2.97	2.13
	3.15	3	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.63)	2.99 ↓ (3)	2.21 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Upington City
28.5%

Draw
30.4%

JDR Stars
41.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.9%

29.7%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

30.2%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Upington City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Upington City's form might have worsened.

JDR Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Upington City than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for JDR Stars than the current prediction. (-4%)

Upington City - JDR Stars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 5).

Upington City is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches JDR Stars is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Upington City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Upington City won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 2:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Upington City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Upington City FC
South African First Division
06.04.25	Upington City - Hungry Lions	0:1 ✺
28.03.25	Durban City - Upington City	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Kruger United - Upington City	2:0 ✺
12.03.25	Upington City - Black Leopards	0:1 ✺
28.02.25	Casric Stars - Upington City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLLLW
- JDR Stars
South African First Division
05.04.25	Baroka - JDR Stars	3:2 ✺
29.03.25	JDR Stars - Milford	2:2 ✺
15.03.25	Venda - JDR Stars	3:0 ✺
11.03.25	JDR Stars - University of Pretoria	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Black Leopards - JDR Stars	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

South African First Division
24.08.24	JDR Stars - Upington City	1:0
02.03.24	JDR Stars - Upington City	2:3
09.12.23	Upington City - JDR Stars	3:1

Upington City - JDR Stars