The best margin for this event is 10.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ural U19 16.9%
Draw 17.9%
Lokomotiv Moscow U19 65.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
18.1%
16.9%
65%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.5%
16.3%
67.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ural U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Lokomotiv Moscow U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ural U19 than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Moscow U19 than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 4)
2', 0 - 1, Fedonin D. ⚽,
8', 0 - 2, Dementjev D. ⚽,
28', 0 - 3, Dronov I. ⚽,
32', 1 - 3, Chelnov A. ⚽,
41', 1 - 4, Pilishvili G. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 3)
51', 1 - 5, Bespalov A. (Penalty Awarded),
56', 2 - 5, Gazhalov D. ⚽,
63', 2 - 6, Komarov K. ⚽,
69', 2 - 7, Dementjev D. ⚽,
87', 3 - 7, ⚽,
90', 4 - 7, ⚽,
90+4', 5 - 7, ⚽,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 12th and 5th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ural U19 won 1.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Recently, Ural U19 has faced a series of away games on the road.
Bookmakers give the edge to Lokomotiv U19 for this game.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Ural U19 has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:24 (averaging 0.5:3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ural U19 against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 2:6 goals (averaging 0.7:2 per game).
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