Match Info

RUSSIA: Youth League - Relegation Group - Round 24

Date: 4 October 2024, Friday


	Ural U19		Strogino Moscow U19

	1	X	2
	3.67	3.68	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↑ (3.51)	3.68 ↑ (3.5)	1.86 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ural U19
25.2%

Draw
25.1%

Strogino Moscow U19
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

26.6%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

25.4%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ural U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Strogino Moscow U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ural U19 than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strogino Moscow U19 than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
12', 0 - 1, Saushkin V. ⚽, Krol K. (A),
15', 0 - 2, Chelyshev N. ⚽,
21', 0 - 3, Krol K. ⚽, Khuranov R. (A),
25', 1 - 3, Makarevich I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', Zhukov R. 🟥,
74', 1 - 4, Panov N. ⚽,
77', 1 - 5, Khuranov R. ⚽,
90', Khanov L. 🟥,
90+3', Bugaev I. 🟥,

Preview

Ural U19 has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Strogino U19 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Strogino U19 will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ural U19 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:13 (average 0.8:2.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Ural U19 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ural U19
Russian Youth League
27.09.24	Krylya Sovetov Samara U19 - Ural U19	0:0 ✺
20.09.24	Ural U19 - UOR Master-Saturn U19	2:4 ✺
13.09.24	Baltika U19 - Ural U19	4:0 ✺
29.08.24	Ural U19 - Rubin Kazan U19	1:3 ✺
23.08.24	Strogino Moscow U19 - Ural U19	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLLLL
- Strogino Moscow U19
Russian Youth League
27.09.24	Strogino Moscow U19 - Nizhny Novgorod U19	1:1 ✺
20.09.24	Orenburg U19 - Strogino Moscow U19	1:1 ✺
13.09.24	Strogino Moscow U19 - Fakel Voronezh U19	1:2 ✺
30.08.24	Akhmat Grozny U19 - Strogino Moscow U19	1:1 ✺
23.08.24	Strogino Moscow U19 - Ural U19	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Youth League
23.08.24	Strogino Moscow U19 - Ural U19	4:0
26.11.21	Ural U19 - Strogino Moscow U19	2:3
27.08.21	Strogino Moscow U19 - Ural U19	1:0
24.02.21	Strogino Moscow U19 - Ural U19	4:0
29.09.20	Ural U19 - Strogino Moscow U19	2:1

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