Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 - Round 14

Date: 27 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadium Uralets (Nizhny Tagil)


	Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil		KDV Tomsk

	1	X	2
	3.61	3.55	1.85
	2.6	3.3	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.31)	3.43 ↓ (3.51)	2.06 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil
29.3%

Draw
26.5%

KDV Tomsk
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

25.2%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

24%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil's form might have worsened.

KDV Tomsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting KDV Tomsk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KDV Tomsk than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for KDV Tomsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Uralets TS Nizhny Tagil - KDV Tomsk Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Uralets-TS (votes: 1 - 50%). KDV (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Uralets-TS (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Uralets-TS (votes: 3 - 75%). KDV (votes: 1 - 25%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Moskovets M. (G) 44. Abdrashitov T. 26. Anisimov A. 13. Antipov N. 8. Chuvilov V. 40. Gorin M. 5. Krotov S. 55. Lauk M. 9. Podbeltsev A. 3. Smolnikov M. 14. Zubarev E.	50. Nagaev D. (G) 97. Bolshunov D. 16. Denisov R. 17. Kayashov M. 24. Kilin A. 9. Kondrakov D. 27. Kositsin S. 2. Nesterov A. 88. Simdyankin N. 11. Starodub D. 14. Stepanenko D.
Substitutes
31. Burykin K. 98. Dmitryuk A. 17. Galimov A. 83. Geykin G. 25. Khokhlov D. 33. Musin A. 10. Serchenkov S. 70. Sharafutdinov R. 72. Surmiy R. 24. Tarasov M. (G)	25. Dorokhov E. 13. Dzhioev A. 19. Korotaev A. 67. Kozlov V. 10. Leonov O. 31. Matveev M. 1. Melnik A. (G) 15. Nikonorov D. 3. Sagutkin D. 63. Volnov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Bolshunov D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Lauk M. ↓, Burykin K. ↑,
61', Abdrashitov T. ↓, Serchenkov S. ↑,
65', Krotov S. 🟨,
65', Stepanenko D. ↓, Korotaev A. ↑,
66', Starodub D. ↓, Leonov O. ↑,
66', Bolshunov D. ↓, Matveev M. ↑,
84', Podbeltsev A. ↓, Dmitryuk A. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 and 9).

Uralets-TS is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

KDV is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Uralets-TS has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Uralets-TS won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
07.07.25	Chelyabinsk 2 - Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil	0:1 ✺
03.07.25	KDV Tomsk - Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil	0:0 ✺
29.06.25	Dynamo Barnaul - Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil	0:3 ✺
22.06.25	Amkar Perm - Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil	1:0 ✺
14.06.25	Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil - Ural 2	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTWLW
- KDV Tomsk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
06.07.25	KDV Tomsk - Nosta Novotroitsk	2:2 ✺
03.07.25	KDV Tomsk - Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil	0:0 ✺
29.06.25	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - KDV Tomsk	1:0 ✺
22.06.25	KDV Tomsk - Krylya Sovetov 2	0:1 ✺
14.06.25	Sokol Kazan - KDV Tomsk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
03.07.25	KDV Tomsk - Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil	0:0

Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil - KDV Tomsk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide