Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 - Round 11

Date: 22 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Zvezda Stadium (Perm)


	Amkar Perm		Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.7	6
	1.34	4.65	9.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.36)	4.68 ↑ (4.3)	7.8 ↑ (7.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amkar Perm
68.9%

Draw
19.4%

Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

21.2%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.6%

19.8%

11.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amkar Perm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amkar Perm than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kolesov N. (G) 14. Chushyalov D. 97. Goldobin N. 20. Kalayda D. 9. Kotik A. 33. Myrzakov K. 44. Sukhoruchenko M. 30. Takazov S. 7. Tyukalov E. 3. Zhilov I. 77. Zuev D.	1. Moskovets M. (G) 44. Abdrashitov T. 26. Anisimov A. 98. Dmitryuk A. 40. Gorin M. 25. Khokhlov D. 88. Kiselev V. 5. Krotov S. 9. Podbeltsev A. 3. Smolnikov M. 14. Zubarev E.
Substitutes
11. Dibirgadzhiev D. 38. Gorbunov M. 66. Konakov S. 17. Kozhin M. 21. Nikiforenko E. 45. Pridyuk A. 70. Shoronov R. 6. Tolkachev L. 99. Vasiljev V. (G)	13. Antipov N. 10. Apushnikov E. 8. Chuvilov V. 19. Davydenko A. 4. Drozhalkin D. 17. Galimov A. 11. Gerasimov D. 83. Geykin G. 71. Kadermetov L. 12. Shubin A. (G) 72. Surmiy R. 24. Tarasov M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Dmitryuk A. 🟨,
32', Khokhlov D. 🟨,
43', Abdrashitov T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Zhilov I. ↓, Dibirgadzhiev D. ↑,
46', Kalayda D. ↓, Konakov S. ↑,
50', 1 - 0, Kotik A. (Pen),
58', Goldobin N. 🟨,
61', Anisimov A. ↓, Chuvilov V. ↑,
61', Kiselev V. ↓, Antipov N. ↑,
72', Dmitryuk A. ↓, Galimov A. ↑,
75', Goldobin N. ↓, Tolkachev L. ↑,
77', Chuvilov V. 🟨,
84', Khokhlov D. ↓, Apushnikov E. ↑,
84', Kotik A. ↓, Pridyuk A. ↑,
87', Apushnikov E. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Fall Season: ) and 5).

Amkar is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Uralets-TS's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Amkar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Amkar is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Amkar will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Amkar won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Amkar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amkar Perm
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
15.06.25	Rubin 2 Kazan - Amkar Perm	1:1 ✺
08.06.25	Amkar Perm - Nosta Novotroitsk	5:0 ✺
01.06.25	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Amkar Perm	1:2 ✺
25.05.25	Amkar Perm - Krylya Sovetov 2	1:0 ✺
18.05.25	Sokol Kazan - Amkar Perm	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWWWW
- Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
14.06.25	Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil - Ural 2	4:1 ✺
08.06.25	Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil - Akron Tolyatti 2	2:1 ✺
01.06.25	Rubin 2 Kazan - Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil	3:1 ✺
25.05.25	Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil - Nosta Novotroitsk	0:1 ✺
18.05.25	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
24.08.24	Amkar Perm - Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil	2:0
Russian Cup
20.08.24	Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil - Amkar Perm	1:2 penalties

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