Match Info

Premier League - Round 24

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Urartu Stadium (Yerevan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Armenia	Fast Sports


	Urartu Yerevan		Ararat-Armenia

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.2	2.02
	3.37	3.3	2.1
	3.34	3.21	2.1	Watch
	3.3	3	2.1
	3.33	3.14	2.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↓ (3.59)	3.17 ↑ (3.09)	2.08 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Urartu Yerevan
27.5%

Draw
28.7%

Ararat-Armenia
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

29.8%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

29.7%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urartu Yerevan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Ararat-Armenia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Urartu Yerevan than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ararat-Armenia than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Urartu Yerevan - Ararat Armenia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
92. Mishiev A. (G) 8. Aghasaryan N. 6. Alef Santos 99. Ayvazyan K. 30. Bruno Michel 4. Ghazaryan A. 88. Margaryan Z. (C) 22. Mirzoyan M. 3. Piloyan E. 44. Tsymbalyuk Y. 27. Velosa M.	24. Pinto B. (G) 10. Ambartsumyan A. (C) 90. Ayongo P. 16. Grigoryan E. 13. Hovhannisyan K. 3. Junior Julio 4. Queiros J. 77. Serobyan A. 7. Shaghoyan Z. 20. Tera A. 88. Welton
Substitutes
24. Bashoyan L. 18. Bratkov A. 33. Dragojevic A. (G) 2. Gunko A. 23. Kaloukian N. 9. Llovet A. 10. Melkonyan K. 7. Mkrtchyan S. 90. Polyakov O. 14. Polyarus A. 55. Simonyan E. 21. Vardanyan E.	33. Arrassi B. 12. Badalyan S. (G) 11. Banjaqui Z. 9. Eloyan A. 5. Hakobyan H. 36. Makhsudyan V. 47. Malis A. 19. Muradyan K. 25. Ndour A. 1. Nersesyan A. (G) 2. Oliveira H. 44. Petrosyan V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Hovhannisyan K. 🟨,
42', Velosa M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', Grigoryan E. 🟨,
55', Ambartsumyan A. 🟨,
57', Shaghoyan Z. ↓, Banjaqui Z. ↑,
64', Serobyan A. 🟨,
72', 🟨,
72', 0 - 1, Ndour A. ⚽,
84', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+4', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Urartu won 0.

Recent performances by Urartu have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ararat-Armenia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Urartu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ararat-Armenia could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Urartu won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:29. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Urartu won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Ararat-Armenia	8	6	1	1	17:8	9	19
6	Urartu	8	3	2	3	12:10	2	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Urartu Yerevan
Armenian Cup
29.04.26	Urartu Yerevan - Andranik	1:0 ✺
Armenian Premier League
26.04.26	Urartu Yerevan - Van	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Pyunik - Urartu Yerevan	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Urartu Yerevan - Alashkert	1:3 ✺
Armenian Cup
15.04.26	Andranik - Urartu Yerevan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WWLLT
- FC Ararat-Armenia
Armenian Cup
29.04.26	Noah Yerevan - Ararat-Armenia	0:0 ✺
Armenian Premier League
25.04.26	Ararat-Armenia - Ararat	4:0 ✺
20.04.26	Shirak Gyumri - Ararat-Armenia	0:4 ✺
Armenian Cup
16.04.26	Ararat-Armenia - Noah Yerevan	0:1 ✺
Armenian Premier League
11.04.26	Pyunik - Ararat-Armenia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Armenian Premier League
08.11.25	Ararat-Armenia - Urartu Yerevan	1:1
14.09.25	Urartu Yerevan - Ararat-Armenia	2:3
05.04.25	Urartu Yerevan - Ararat-Armenia	0:3
Armenian Cup
01.04.25	Ararat-Armenia - Urartu Yerevan	2:1
05.03.25	Urartu Yerevan - Ararat-Armenia	0:1
Armenian Premier League
25.02.25	Ararat-Armenia - Urartu Yerevan	1:2
19.08.24	Urartu Yerevan - Ararat-Armenia	3:1

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