Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 14

Date: 17 December 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Urduliz		Aurrerá de Vitoria

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Urduliz
56.1%

Draw
24.1%

Aurrerá de Vitoria
19.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.5%

25.3%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

22.1%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urduliz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Aurrerá de Vitoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Urduliz than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Urduliz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurrerá de Vitoria than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Urduliz is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Aurrerá de Vitoria has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Urduliz is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Urduliz FT
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
10.12.22	Durango - Urduliz	4:0 ✺
03.12.22	Urduliz - Padura	3:3 ✺
26.11.22	Anaitasuna - Urduliz	3:1 ✺
19.11.22	Urduliz - Leioa	0:0 ✺
06.11.22	Portugalete - Urduliz	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTLTL
- Aurrerá de Vitoria
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
11.12.22	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Barakaldo	1:5 ✺
03.12.22	Deusto - Aurrerá de Vitoria	2:0 ✺
27.11.22	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Touring KE	1:1 ✺
19.11.22	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Aurrerá Ondarroa	0:3 ✺
05.11.22	Durango - Aurrerá de Vitoria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL

Urduliz - Aurrerá de Vitoria