Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 7

Date: 22 October 2023, Sunday


	Urduliz		Leioa

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.9	2.4
	2.96	2.88	2.36
	3.26	2.92	2.19
	2.86	3.1	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.17)	2.95 ↓ (3)	2.32 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Urduliz
30.6%

Draw
30.6%

Leioa
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

30.3%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

29.3%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urduliz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Urduliz's form might have worsened.

Leioa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leioa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urduliz than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Urduliz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leioa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Urduliz is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leioa is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Urduliz will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Urduliz won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Urduliz won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Urduliz FT
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
12.10.23	Portugalete - Urduliz	3:0 ✺
07.10.23	Urduliz - Durango	2:0 ✺
30.09.23	Derio - Urduliz	1:3 ✺
23.09.23	Urduliz - Lagun Onak	0:0 ✺
16.09.23	Anaitasuna - Urduliz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LWWTT
- SD Leioa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
12.10.23	Durango - Leioa	2:1 ✺
07.10.23	Leioa - Lagun Onak	1:2 ✺
01.10.23	Vitoria - Leioa	6:0 ✺
24.09.23	Leioa - Pasaia	3:1 ✺
16.09.23	Padura - Leioa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
18.03.23	Leioa - Urduliz	2:1
19.11.22	Urduliz - Leioa	0:0
16.02.22	Leioa - Urduliz	3:1
20.10.21	Urduliz - Leioa	0:0

Urduliz - Leioa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide