Match Info

Date: 23 February 2022, Wednesday


	Ursaria		Colonia Moscardó

	1	X	2
	1.26	5	9.25
	1.1	5.8	14
	1.09	6.5	16
	1.11	6.68	17.8
	1.11	7.3	19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.13 ↓ (1.37)	6.26 ↑ (4.1)	15.21 ↑ (6.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ursaria
79.6%

Draw
14.4%

Colonia Moscardó
5.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

21.8%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

12.1%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ursaria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ursaria's performance.

Colonia Moscardó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Colonia Moscardó might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ursaria than the current prediction. (-43.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ursaria that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colonia Moscardó than the current prediction. (+17.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colonia Moscardó could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ursaria - Colonia Moscardó Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Ursaria is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Moscardó is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Ursaria is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ursaria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDE Ursaria
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
20.02.22	Ursaria - Parla	0:0 ✺
16.02.22	CDE Madrid - Ursaria	2:0 ✺
13.02.22	Ursaria - Getafe B	1:0 ✺
09.02.22	Ursaria - Carabanchel	2:0 ✺
06.02.22	Tres Cantos - Ursaria	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLWWT
- Colonia Moscardó
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
20.02.22	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Colonia Moscardó	3:0 ✺
16.02.22	Colonia Moscardó - Alcalá	0:1 ✺
12.02.22	Complutense Alcalá - Colonia Moscardó	1:0 ✺
09.02.22	Colonia Moscardó - CDE Madrid	1:1 ✺
06.02.22	Colonia Moscardó - Moratalaz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
05.09.21	Colonia Moscardó - Ursaria	0:3

Ursaria - Colonia Moscardó: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide